A clear majority of PFR’s readers believe Pete Carroll will be a one-and-done head coach in Vegas. Signs continue to point in that direction. 
Carroll is expected to be dismissed following Week 18, CBS Sports’ Jonathan Jones reports. A departure could still come in the form of retirement, NFL insider Jordan Schultz adds. In any case, yet another Raiders coaching search appears to be forthcoming.
Owner Mark Davis has not yet stated which way he is leaning to anyone in the organization, according to Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero of NFL Network. Their report nevertheless confirms Carroll is set to be replaced this offseason. With Vegas on track to secure the No. 1 pick in the 2026 draft, meanwhile, a major reset will likely be in store over the coming months.
Carroll has been “fighting for another year” at the helm of the Raiders, per the NFLN report. The 2025 season has been messy to say the least, however, with two coordinators being fired in the middle of the campaign. Vegas’ offense has struggled throughout the season, and selecting a rookie at the top of the draft could allow for the team to move in a new direction for 2026 and beyond. At the age of 74, Carroll naturally does not profile as a candidate regarding a long-term overhaul.
A win-now campaign (or at least something close to it) was the goal with Carroll, first-year general manager John Spytek, minority owner Tom Brady and veteran quarterback Geno Smith being brought in last offseason. The reunion between Carroll and Smith has not yielded the desired results, and Vegas enters tomorrow’s action with 14 losses – including 10 in a row. Widespread evaluations of coaching and quarterback options will become a central priority provided the Raiders do indeed make a change on the sidelines.
Jones, Schultz and Sports Illustrated’s Albert Breer note Brady is set to play a leading role in not only the HC search but also the process of evaluating quarterback options. The seven-time Super Bowl champion is known to be a central voice in the Raiders’ decision-making, and that should be expected to remain the case for the foreseeable future. As Michael Silver of The Athletic writes (subscription required), Davis has treated Brady as the “de facto boss” of the team with respect to football matters. Per Silver, even some inside the organization are unsure of who is behind certain decisions given the Davis-Brady dynamic.
Stability in the front office over an extended period would of course be welcomed in the Raiders’ case considering the changes which have been commonplace on that front over time. A long-running cycle of moves on the sidelines has defined the franchise as well, and it seems as though another reset in that regard is imminent.